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sub 2hour marathon
Posted by stone cold on 9/30/2007

So the greatest runner to ever live has done it again . Haillie Gebrselassie breaks yet another world record . Marathon standard now at 2h04m26sec .

What I am wondering is how many of you all think that within say the next 40 yrs or so we will see a sub 2hr marathon . please give reasons as to why or why not .

Personally I think it will happen the 10 000 times are still coming down as are the half marathons . We are moving into an era where there is less guess work going into our training .

 

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6 comments

simon says:

<em>simon</em>'s picture

For sure: we will see a sub two-hour sooner rather than later.

Haile said post-Berlin that he can get it down to 2:03 himself.

The elite of the elites are now running 10k in 26 minutes, 30k in 1:28 and the half-marathon record is down to 58 minutes...so we're fast getting to the point where they can believe it can be done on the right day.

Do you think a "barrier" at two hours will appear, like it did at four minutes for the mile after many attempts narrowly failed?

by simon on Tue, 2007-10-02 07:40

weltal327 says:

<em>weltal327</em>'s picture

I think that training and competition will continue to get better. Better Techonology in the shoes and the things we eat will continue to improve. Countries could get the Olympics bug again and start trying to use vast resources to compete a la Soviets and United States during the Cold War.

The 2 hour mark will fall and I think in 40 yrs we will see sub 2 on the marathon, but it will take someone incredible.

by weltal327 on Wed, 2007-10-03 21:18

simon says:

<em>simon</em>'s picture

Someone incredible is probably right now training, unknown, in China or in the Rift Valley. I think Beijing will surprise us all.

by simon on Thu, 2007-10-04 01:14

simon says:

<em>simon</em>'s picture

Guys... be sure to check out the parallel discussion going on here with input from Ross Tucker of the Science of Sport blog.

by simon on Thu, 2007-10-04 02:39

Jetfuelburner says:

<em>Jetfuelburner</em>'s picture

I am a believer that it will happen within my lifetime (I am 34) The question of great importance to me though, is will I EVER break 4 hours? I just ran a new PR 4:02:48, about to post the blog on it soon....I am a little facetious about the question. I am certain I can break 4 hours very soon.

"Bravery is being the only one who knows you're afraid."

by Jetfuelburner on Sat, 2007-10-06 19:15

simon says:

<em>simon</em>'s picture

Congratulations JFB: so close!

by simon on Sun, 2007-10-07 04:26

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